2013年1月21日星期一
cultured stone veneer for indoor and outdoor, specifications size smaller than 400x400mm, the rough surface of natural or man-made stone. Where the specifications of size less than 400x400mm, surface roughness, its two main features
Artificial culture stone molding material according to its main points, can be divided into three categories: cement-based artificial culture stone artificial cultured stone veneer for the main molding material (cement), gypsum-based artificial culture stone (gypsum as the main molding artificial culture stone material), resin-based casting stone ( artificial cultured stone veneer resin molding material, commonly known as resin the artificial sandstone).
Beijing Earl of Gance culture stone's specifications, to provide you with professional service, quality cultured stone veneer specifications, business integrity, good reputation! Beijing Earl of Gance culture stone specifications, manufacturers sell a variety of cultural stone specifications, provide you with more choices, bring a high quality of life!
2013年1月16日星期三
China's exports to the United States caused by two major factors deceleration
After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis, the U.S. government through tax cuts, interest rate cuts and other strong fiscal and monetary policy response to the economic slowdown risks. Customs Department reminded that, despite the stimulus measures are expected to make America's economy from recession, but will remain at a standstill long time to take the rise of trade protectionism, which is apt to cause. According to statistics, the new U.S. launched against 18 trading partners investigation, 15 for China, accounting for 83.3%.
According to statistics, this year, although the United States is still China's second largest trading partner, but the proportion of China's total import and export volume has been 16.2% in the same period last year dropped to 12.8%. Among them, China's exports to the U.S. $ 140.39 billion, an increase of 9.9%, the growth rate down 8.1 percentage points, which is China's growth rate of exports to the U.S. dropped to single digits for the first time since 2002; imports from the U.S. $ 48.72 billion, up 23.8 % growth rate increased by 7.9 percentage points; the U.S. trade surplus of $ 91.67 billion, an increase of 3.8%, accounting for 74.1% of the total scale of China's trade surplus over the same period.
Customs analysts believe that the negative impact of the subprime mortgage crisis spread and the continued appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, the main reason for the deceleration of China's exports to the U.S. and imports accelerated. The one hand, since the end of last year the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the negative impact of the deepening U.S. economic weakness is a direct result of the demand for China's exports of goods slowed. Meanwhile, the United States is also trying to expand their exports to stimulate economic recovery.
On the other hand, by the impact of the weak dollar strategy, the RMB against the U.S. dollar continued to appreciate, with respect to the date of the exchange rate reform, the cumulative appreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar rate has exceeded 18% price advantage in the U.S. market at the same time weaken our products, but also improved accordingly the U.S. The export price competitiveness.
stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis, the U.S. government through tax cuts, interest rate cuts and other strong fiscal and monetary policy response to the economic slowdown risks. Customs Department reminded that, despite the stimulus measures are expected to make America's economy from recession, but will remain at a standstill long time to take the rise of trade protectionism, which is apt to cause. According to statistics, the new U.S. launched against 18 trading partners investigation, 15 for China, accounting for 83.3%.
According to statistics, this year, although the United States is still China's second largest trading partner, but the proportion of China's total import and export volume has been 16.2% in the same period last year dropped to 12.8%. Among them, China's exports to the U.S. $ 140.39 billion, an increase of 9.9%, the growth rate down 8.1 percentage points, which is China's growth rate of exports to the U.S. dropped to single digits for the first time since 2002; imports from the U.S. $ 48.72 billion, up 23.8 % growth rate increased by 7.9 percentage points; the U.S. trade surplus of $ 91.67 billion, an increase of 3.8%, accounting for 74.1% of the total scale of China's trade surplus over the same period.
Customs analysts believe that the negative impact of the subprime mortgage crisis spread and the continued appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, the main reason for the deceleration of China's exports to the U.S. and imports accelerated. The one hand, since the end of last year the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the negative impact of the deepening U.S. economic weakness is a direct result of the demand for China's exports of goods slowed. Meanwhile, the United States is also trying to expand their exports to stimulate economic recovery.
On the other hand, by the impact of the weak dollar strategy, the RMB against the U.S. dollar continued to appreciate, with respect to the date of the exchange rate reform, the cumulative appreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar rate has exceeded 18% price advantage in the U.S. market at the same time weaken our products, but also improved accordingly the U.S. The export price competitiveness.
stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
China's exports to the United States caused by two major factors deceleration
After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis, the U.S. government through tax cuts, interest rate cuts and other strong fiscal and monetary policy response to the economic slowdown risks. Customs Department reminded that, despite the stimulus measures are expected to make America's economy from recession, but will remain at a standstill long time to take the rise of trade protectionism, which is apt to cause. According to statistics, the new U.S. launched against 18 trading partners investigation, 15 for China, accounting for 83.3%.
According to statistics, this year, although the United States is still China's second largest trading partner, but the proportion of China's total import and export volume has been 16.2% in the same period last year dropped to 12.8%. Among them, China's exports to the U.S. $ 140.39 billion, an increase of 9.9%, the growth rate down 8.1 percentage points, which is China's growth rate of exports to the U.S. dropped to single digits for the first time since 2002; imports from the U.S. $ 48.72 billion, up 23.8 % growth rate increased by 7.9 percentage points; the U.S. trade surplus of $ 91.67 billion, an increase of 3.8%, accounting for 74.1% of the total scale of China's trade surplus over the same period.
Customs analysts believe that the negative impact of the subprime mortgage crisis spread and the continued appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, the main reason for the deceleration of China's exports to the U.S. and imports accelerated. The one hand, since the end of last year the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the negative impact of the deepening U.S. economic weakness is a direct result of the demand for China's exports of goods slowed. Meanwhile, the United States is also trying to expand their exports to stimulate economic recovery.
On the other hand, by the impact of the weak dollar strategy, the RMB against the U.S. dollar continued to appreciate, with respect to the date of the exchange rate reform, the cumulative appreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar rate has exceeded 18% price advantage in the U.S. market at the same time weaken our products, but also improved accordingly the U.S. The export price competitiveness.
stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis, the U.S. government through tax cuts, interest rate cuts and other strong fiscal and monetary policy response to the economic slowdown risks. Customs Department reminded that, despite the stimulus measures are expected to make America's economy from recession, but will remain at a standstill long time to take the rise of trade protectionism, which is apt to cause. According to statistics, the new U.S. launched against 18 trading partners investigation, 15 for China, accounting for 83.3%.
According to statistics, this year, although the United States is still China's second largest trading partner, but the proportion of China's total import and export volume has been 16.2% in the same period last year dropped to 12.8%. Among them, China's exports to the U.S. $ 140.39 billion, an increase of 9.9%, the growth rate down 8.1 percentage points, which is China's growth rate of exports to the U.S. dropped to single digits for the first time since 2002; imports from the U.S. $ 48.72 billion, up 23.8 % growth rate increased by 7.9 percentage points; the U.S. trade surplus of $ 91.67 billion, an increase of 3.8%, accounting for 74.1% of the total scale of China's trade surplus over the same period.
Customs analysts believe that the negative impact of the subprime mortgage crisis spread and the continued appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollar, the main reason for the deceleration of China's exports to the U.S. and imports accelerated. The one hand, since the end of last year the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the negative impact of the deepening U.S. economic weakness is a direct result of the demand for China's exports of goods slowed. Meanwhile, the United States is also trying to expand their exports to stimulate economic recovery.
On the other hand, by the impact of the weak dollar strategy, the RMB against the U.S. dollar continued to appreciate, with respect to the date of the exchange rate reform, the cumulative appreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar rate has exceeded 18% price advantage in the U.S. market at the same time weaken our products, but also improved accordingly the U.S. The export price competitiveness.
stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
2013年1月2日星期三
The three major problems constraining the development of green building materials industry in China
Published :2012 -10-17
With the popularity of the green economy, health, environmental, safety and other characteristics of green building materials has also become China's "12th Five-Year" period energy conservation planning important part. However, by the impact of the domestic real estate prices down, the more and more real estate developer funding chain tight, coupled with rising raw material prices and labor costs, the developers in the selection of green building materials cautious.
Construction market environment restricts the use of green building materials
Yet general consulting firm building materials industry analysts pointed out that in 2012, the building materials industry by the direct impact of the real estate downturn, has been in the doldrums, and green building materials as a new type of building materials, the market space is still relatively small. Compared to foreign awareness of green building materials, domestic consumer awareness of green building materials there are many errors. Therefore, at present, of green building materials business in the overseas market share of the proportion of its total sales volume is relatively large.
Insiders pointed out that, whether it is used in construction, or home improvement, green building materials will be the trend. But is currently limited to the entire building materials market environment, the formation of this trend may be a period of time. Not regulate the production of green building materials manufacturers is a major cause of the popularity of green building materials, color stone metal tile (Stone coated steel roofing tiles ), for example, China production of color stone metal tile (stone coated steel roofing tiles) factory many, but some small processing plants. Difficult to monitor, from colored sand into the adhesive to the substrate steel selection, gave opportunities for counterfeiters perpetrating a fraud, had the most high-end building materials watts degenerate into extreme rough imitation. The original material for luxury villas, look even after the construction of the plant is not as good as with tile. These are industries chaos.
The use of green building materials will increase the cost of investment real estate and not blindly promote green building technology, in the use of green building materials, green renovation project of building before we do the budget statistics on the costs and payback period is estimated, calculate the energy cost savings in the recovery of the cost of renovation, how long before they decided to use what kind of energy-saving technologies. "Hu Jianxin, deputy general manager of China Merchants Property emphasized. China Merchants Property to follow the principle of proportionality in the use of green building materials and technologies, the pursuit of a more economical method to achieve the purpose of energy saving. In fact, many real estate developers are doing.
The development of green building materials is an urgent need to crack the problem of the policy, the cost and awareness
The prospects for the development of green building materials industry, both from the consumer's demand or demand from the environmental point of view, are very optimistic. Currently, the development of green building materials industry in China faces three major obstacles: First, the current domestic development of green building materials industry only introduced less policy, some only advocate; to green, cost will certainly increase; three current green building materials is not a mainstream product in the building materials industry. Green building materials in actual use, the vast majority of its major customers for the high-end consumer, the average consumer does not understand the benefits of green building materials, and too busy to pay the high price.
Yet general consulting firm released from 2011 to 2016, China's building materials industry analysis and investment value of the research report "shows that the policy, cost and recognition as a the three major obstacle limiting the development of green building materials. Energy conservation subsidy policies and public participation is particularly important, the state promotes encourage policy to mobilize the enthusiasm of developers and consumers, the major green building materials manufacturers will be more stable.Stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
Published :2012 -10-17
With the popularity of the green economy, health, environmental, safety and other characteristics of green building materials has also become China's "12th Five-Year" period energy conservation planning important part. However, by the impact of the domestic real estate prices down, the more and more real estate developer funding chain tight, coupled with rising raw material prices and labor costs, the developers in the selection of green building materials cautious.
Construction market environment restricts the use of green building materials
Yet general consulting firm building materials industry analysts pointed out that in 2012, the building materials industry by the direct impact of the real estate downturn, has been in the doldrums, and green building materials as a new type of building materials, the market space is still relatively small. Compared to foreign awareness of green building materials, domestic consumer awareness of green building materials there are many errors. Therefore, at present, of green building materials business in the overseas market share of the proportion of its total sales volume is relatively large.
Insiders pointed out that, whether it is used in construction, or home improvement, green building materials will be the trend. But is currently limited to the entire building materials market environment, the formation of this trend may be a period of time. Not regulate the production of green building materials manufacturers is a major cause of the popularity of green building materials, color stone metal tile (Stone coated steel roofing tiles ), for example, China production of color stone metal tile (stone coated steel roofing tiles) factory many, but some small processing plants. Difficult to monitor, from colored sand into the adhesive to the substrate steel selection, gave opportunities for counterfeiters perpetrating a fraud, had the most high-end building materials watts degenerate into extreme rough imitation. The original material for luxury villas, look even after the construction of the plant is not as good as with tile. These are industries chaos.
The use of green building materials will increase the cost of investment real estate and not blindly promote green building technology, in the use of green building materials, green renovation project of building before we do the budget statistics on the costs and payback period is estimated, calculate the energy cost savings in the recovery of the cost of renovation, how long before they decided to use what kind of energy-saving technologies. "Hu Jianxin, deputy general manager of China Merchants Property emphasized. China Merchants Property to follow the principle of proportionality in the use of green building materials and technologies, the pursuit of a more economical method to achieve the purpose of energy saving. In fact, many real estate developers are doing.
The development of green building materials is an urgent need to crack the problem of the policy, the cost and awareness
The prospects for the development of green building materials industry, both from the consumer's demand or demand from the environmental point of view, are very optimistic. Currently, the development of green building materials industry in China faces three major obstacles: First, the current domestic development of green building materials industry only introduced less policy, some only advocate; to green, cost will certainly increase; three current green building materials is not a mainstream product in the building materials industry. Green building materials in actual use, the vast majority of its major customers for the high-end consumer, the average consumer does not understand the benefits of green building materials, and too busy to pay the high price.
Yet general consulting firm released from 2011 to 2016, China's building materials industry analysis and investment value of the research report "shows that the policy, cost and recognition as a the three major obstacle limiting the development of green building materials. Energy conservation subsidy policies and public participation is particularly important, the state promotes encourage policy to mobilize the enthusiasm of developers and consumers, the major green building materials manufacturers will be more stable.Stone coated steel roofing tiles editing
2012年11月4日星期日
Building materials export growth decreased
Foshan Inspection and Quarantine Bureau analysis of the ceramics industry is facing a variety of difficulties, including the downturn in the real estate market in Europe and the United States, caused by the over-reliance on real estate ceramics industry needs a serious recession, exports fell for the inevitable trend. In the same situation, the domestic market is also declining, forcing more companies to the international market to find buyers, so exports intensified competition, disorder greatly increased. At the same time, more than 40 countries and regions, mandatory certification or ceramic performance special requirements of ceramic products from China.
In addition, the ceramic enterprises facing financing difficulties. Currently, Foshan City, about 100 production line shutdown. This also led to the transfer of ceramic enterprises, Guangdong Foshan ceramic enterprises have transferred economically underdeveloped areas and expansion, the formation of a large number of new production capacity.
Anti-risk ability of large enterprises.
Question: will affect the backward production capacity and energy savings
The fundamentals of the country to maintain growth, the local government in order to maintain the growth rate, whether be backward production capacity given the green light is not known. In the case of many building materials difficult to finance for SMEs, industry, energy conservation work will be affected, insiders also expressed concern.
Prediction: next year's increase in export volume and price will drop
China is the world's building materials export, natural stone, stone coated metal roofing tiles ,glass fiber yarn, flat glass products, exports accounted for 40% to 60% of the volume of world trade, cement and clinker exports account for the volume of world trade of processed glass, kaolin products 20% to 30%. On the building materials market in the world, China has established a certain basis, has covered more than 100 countries and regions, only one of the developed countries, one-third of the market price to the average export price of the overall building materials. Given these advantages, Cui source says that, in 2009, the building materials export to China will remain a major exporter.
Recommendation: increase the export value-added products to our market diversification strategy
Financial tsunami, the experts advise companies to keep an eye and detailed study of the latest impact of the subprime mortgage crisis development of the building materials industry brought, formulate corresponding exports of high value-added products to strategic absorb the relevant authoritative point of view, to achieve development provide a basis for decision making and business operations. At the same time, but also the strategy of market diversification. The subprime mortgage crisis on financial related degree lower emerging market impact is relatively limited, recommends that companies can address these emerging markets to increase efforts to open up to fill the existing market, stock market incremental. In addition, to strengthen the export risk management. Foreign trade enterprises to conduct export business, to strengthen links with overseas customers, tracking overseas customers credit dynamic; to strengthen export receivables tracking Dunning; management strengthen internal contract (documents); strictly fulfill the obligations of the seller in the business contracts to strengthen goods quality inspection.
edited by stone coated steel roofing tiles
Foshan Inspection and Quarantine Bureau analysis of the ceramics industry is facing a variety of difficulties, including the downturn in the real estate market in Europe and the United States, caused by the over-reliance on real estate ceramics industry needs a serious recession, exports fell for the inevitable trend. In the same situation, the domestic market is also declining, forcing more companies to the international market to find buyers, so exports intensified competition, disorder greatly increased. At the same time, more than 40 countries and regions, mandatory certification or ceramic performance special requirements of ceramic products from China.
In addition, the ceramic enterprises facing financing difficulties. Currently, Foshan City, about 100 production line shutdown. This also led to the transfer of ceramic enterprises, Guangdong Foshan ceramic enterprises have transferred economically underdeveloped areas and expansion, the formation of a large number of new production capacity.
Anti-risk ability of large enterprises.
Question: will affect the backward production capacity and energy savings
The fundamentals of the country to maintain growth, the local government in order to maintain the growth rate, whether be backward production capacity given the green light is not known. In the case of many building materials difficult to finance for SMEs, industry, energy conservation work will be affected, insiders also expressed concern.
Prediction: next year's increase in export volume and price will drop
China is the world's building materials export, natural stone, stone coated metal roofing tiles ,glass fiber yarn, flat glass products, exports accounted for 40% to 60% of the volume of world trade, cement and clinker exports account for the volume of world trade of processed glass, kaolin products 20% to 30%. On the building materials market in the world, China has established a certain basis, has covered more than 100 countries and regions, only one of the developed countries, one-third of the market price to the average export price of the overall building materials. Given these advantages, Cui source says that, in 2009, the building materials export to China will remain a major exporter.
Recommendation: increase the export value-added products to our market diversification strategy
Financial tsunami, the experts advise companies to keep an eye and detailed study of the latest impact of the subprime mortgage crisis development of the building materials industry brought, formulate corresponding exports of high value-added products to strategic absorb the relevant authoritative point of view, to achieve development provide a basis for decision making and business operations. At the same time, but also the strategy of market diversification. The subprime mortgage crisis on financial related degree lower emerging market impact is relatively limited, recommends that companies can address these emerging markets to increase efforts to open up to fill the existing market, stock market incremental. In addition, to strengthen the export risk management. Foreign trade enterprises to conduct export business, to strengthen links with overseas customers, tracking overseas customers credit dynamic; to strengthen export receivables tracking Dunning; management strengthen internal contract (documents); strictly fulfill the obligations of the seller in the business contracts to strengthen goods quality inspection.
edited by stone coated steel roofing tiles
2012年10月14日星期日
Chinese building materials companies borrow exhibitions attack Saudi market
Montreal over the gold in Saudi Arabia has long attracted the Chinese businessmen to the Nuggets, however, the special nature of this country and makes is not so easy to open up this prosperous land.
Strict visa regime in Saudi Arabia, the implementation of the system of the back to sign, the approval process is complex and time-consuming, and restrictions on foreign unmarried women is particularly strict.
Feng Exhibition, the faucet manufacturing enterprises in Guangdong Province, Guangdong Huayi Sanitary Ware Industry Co., Ltd., chairman of a dealer in Saudi Arabia 10 years of business, has never set foot in this land.
Feng Song the exhibition told reporters, Guangdong Huayi Sanitary Ware Industry Co., Ltd. is a Saudi agents to do their own design (ODM) faucet production of approximately 3 million U.S. dollars in annual exports, occupies a 5% share of the Saudi market.
And stable economic conditions in Saudi Arabia compared to the traditional market outlets in Europe and America do not see a big improvement. The enterprise's exports in January to July this year compared with the same period last year declined. Holding you want to expand the share of emerging markets hope exhibition Feng, and Kaiping dozen sanitary enterprises with a delegation to enroll on December 18 this year to 20 May 2012 held in the Saudi capital Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (China) International Sanitary Building Hardware Exhibition Saudi The Chinese commodity Zhanqia Hui.
Judging from the current situation, in order to enter the Saudi market, the primary way is to participate in a variety of building materials exhibition, held in the Middle East region to showcase China's building materials products to Arab countries customers price and quality advantages. The third Saudi China commodity Zhanqia Hui cum 2012 Saudi Arabia (China) International Sanitary Building Hardware Exhibition organized by the Chinese government autonomy has been the strong support of the Saudi government, visa and a series of tedious problem can be resolved smoothly.
CCCMC understood as the show organizers have seen this opportunity and is positive for Chinese exhibitors to prepare a variety of online and offline promotional opportunities, while providing buyers matching buyer database and a variety of value-added Service.
Saudi Arabia, some large bathroom building materials and hardware distribution companies have a strong interest in related products produced in China, said it will participate in the exhibition and in contact with the Chinese enterprises participating.
Edited by STONE COATED METAL ROOFING TILES
Montreal over the gold in Saudi Arabia has long attracted the Chinese businessmen to the Nuggets, however, the special nature of this country and makes is not so easy to open up this prosperous land.
Strict visa regime in Saudi Arabia, the implementation of the system of the back to sign, the approval process is complex and time-consuming, and restrictions on foreign unmarried women is particularly strict.
Feng Exhibition, the faucet manufacturing enterprises in Guangdong Province, Guangdong Huayi Sanitary Ware Industry Co., Ltd., chairman of a dealer in Saudi Arabia 10 years of business, has never set foot in this land.
Feng Song the exhibition told reporters, Guangdong Huayi Sanitary Ware Industry Co., Ltd. is a Saudi agents to do their own design (ODM) faucet production of approximately 3 million U.S. dollars in annual exports, occupies a 5% share of the Saudi market.
And stable economic conditions in Saudi Arabia compared to the traditional market outlets in Europe and America do not see a big improvement. The enterprise's exports in January to July this year compared with the same period last year declined. Holding you want to expand the share of emerging markets hope exhibition Feng, and Kaiping dozen sanitary enterprises with a delegation to enroll on December 18 this year to 20 May 2012 held in the Saudi capital Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (China) International Sanitary Building Hardware Exhibition Saudi The Chinese commodity Zhanqia Hui.
Judging from the current situation, in order to enter the Saudi market, the primary way is to participate in a variety of building materials exhibition, held in the Middle East region to showcase China's building materials products to Arab countries customers price and quality advantages. The third Saudi China commodity Zhanqia Hui cum 2012 Saudi Arabia (China) International Sanitary Building Hardware Exhibition organized by the Chinese government autonomy has been the strong support of the Saudi government, visa and a series of tedious problem can be resolved smoothly.
CCCMC understood as the show organizers have seen this opportunity and is positive for Chinese exhibitors to prepare a variety of online and offline promotional opportunities, while providing buyers matching buyer database and a variety of value-added Service.
Saudi Arabia, some large bathroom building materials and hardware distribution companies have a strong interest in related products produced in China, said it will participate in the exhibition and in contact with the Chinese enterprises participating.
Edited by STONE COATED METAL ROOFING TILES
2012年10月10日星期三
中国出口“冰点” www.metal-roofing-sheet.com
李银莲
7月的进出口数据让人们对中国经济下滑的担忧又有所加剧。当月,中国出口总值仅为1769.4亿美元,增长1%;1~7月,进出口总值21683.7亿美元,增长7.1%。不仅低于市场预期,且上半年7.1%的增速也与年初商务部提出的10%的全年增长速度有明显距离。
7月是传统的出口旺季,统计数据显示的“反常”表现也成为商务部发言人沈丹阳在8月16日举行的商务部例行新闻发布会上首要面对的问题。
“7月份出现外贸增速特别是出口增速的急剧回落,我们分析主要原因是当月我国对欧盟的出口大幅度下降所导致。”沈丹阳同时表示,下半年外贸形势将更加严峻,困难更突出,实现“保十”目标压力更大。
外需告急
1300亿美元!这是今年上半年中国向欧盟出口同比下降3.6%所产生的贸易缺口,相当于上半年总出口额 11312.4亿美元的近10%。从这一比例可以看到,欧债危机在消耗欧盟国家内部经济活力的同时,衰退像感冒一样传染到了其他国家。
“我们现在一个月从出20~30个柜降到了只能出5~6个柜,英国客人直呼卖不动。”宁波一家出口企业的外贸经理章程说。这家以纺织品为主的进出口贸易企业上半年销售额下降了40%左右。他表示,周围的企业朋友现在不是着急订不到柜,而是纷纷打听能不能拼柜。“一方面量少,一方面也是降低运费。”
企业的变动直接反为行业景气。7月外贸箱量数据同比下降0.1%,继今年1月份之后再次出现同比负增长。在上海港,箱量7月份同比增长为-3.1%、外贸箱量则同比下滑3.5%,这也是进出口重镇华东区域箱量则出现今年首次负增长。
申银万国(微博)证券分析师李慧勇表示,从出口产品的结构上看,上半年服装和纺织品出口仅下降0.2%,但是7月份这两项的降幅环比已经下降了7.7%和8.6%。虽然表面看机电产品出口增长较快,1至7月,出口达到6491亿美元,增长9.1%。但这是在产品价格普遍提升的情况下实现的,实际出口量仍在下降。显著的事实是机电产品7月的出口金额同比增加了1.91%,但是环比却下降了11.4%。同比和环比叠加因素,7月出口迫近“冰点”。
由于欧盟现在仍是我国的第一大贸易国,欧盟统计局8月14日公布的最新数据则可能意味着这个现状仍将持续一段时间。
今年二季度欧元区经济与一季度环比萎缩了0.2%,同比则萎缩0.4%。令人担忧的是,几个主要国家的经济增速放缓或零增长。德国经济环比增长0.3%,低于第一季度的0.5%,且包括零售销售额、新增订单数在内的多项主要经济指标开始下滑;法国连续第三个季度保持零增长;英国第二季度经济增长环比下降0.7%,这三个国家的贸易总量占中国对欧盟贸易总量的近五分之一。
与增长乏力相比,欧元区和欧盟的失业率却居高不下。今年6月的失业率分别达到11.2%和10.4%,均分别高于去年同期的10%和9.5%,尤其年轻人无法充分就业的情况下,直接抑制了有效需求。
新兴市场在年初即被商务部寄予厚望成为“稳出口”的新增长极。1~7月,从海关总署发布的数据看,我国与东盟双边贸易总值为2205.7亿美元,增长9%;与俄罗斯和巴西双边贸易总值分别为509.4亿和497.8亿美元,增长分别为17.7%和10.3%。但对比去年的数据,中国与俄罗斯和巴西之间的贸易增速也多保持在20%以上,新兴市场在上半年需求放缓的迹象也开始现象,但是这三个国家和地区的贸易总量之和占上半年中国进出口总额不到20%,影响小于欧盟市场。
新兴市场和美国市场在上半年均出现增长,不过这两个市场的增长是否能够维系于下半年的经济和政治局势走势密切相关。
“美国新公布的PMI和零售数据都在向好,但下半年奥巴马政府面临财政收支平衡和竞选的两大不确定形势;在新兴市场,主要国家的PMI正在逐步回升,巴西和俄罗斯甚至已经恢复到48.7%和52%,但是CPI反弹的压力仍在,印度央行已经暂缓了进一步的宽松政策,短期内大幅扩张需求的可能性也比较有限。”商务部研究院研究员白明表示。
就在6月底,全国海关抽样对1856家样本出口企业进行了一次问卷调查。在这次回收率高达99.6%的调查中显示,出口企业新增订单指数为40.1,出口信心指数为41。
内需困局
在出口增速下滑的同时,进口增速同样未能达到市场的预期。
“内需不足导致大宗商品进口需求疲软是主要原因。”东吴证券(7.44,-0.14,-1.85%)分析师强琪菁表示。这直接体现在部分大宗商品的进口价格下跌。1至7月,我国铁矿砂进口4.2亿吨,增加9.1%,进口均价为每吨138.5美元,下跌15.2%,未锻造铝及铝材71.1万吨,增加34%,进口均价为每吨3978.2美元,下跌18.9%。
PMI制造业新增订单指数连续3个月下跌以及原材料库存指数的回升,都表明进口的增长需求被抑制,一些分析师看来,7月出现的情况是前几个月需求疲软的集中效应。
“现在各地都在出台刺激政策,且政策的重点集中于基建、公共设施建设,如果这些项目能够推进,对于进口的推动会产生正面激励。”
而逐渐增加的运营成本仍然是困扰企业扩大投资和生产的重要因素。从海关的数据上看,1~7月,加工贸易进出口总额为7532.1亿美元,增长了3.1%。但是来料加工装配贸易的进出口总额同比下降了11.6%。
以广州为中国大陆总部的一家新加坡企业外务主任唐杰森告诉《中国经营报》记者,他们在中国的业务以OEM来料加工生产为主,但是今年由于劳动力成本和国内物流成本上涨较快,总部暂停了在东莞新建项目。
“很可能在明年,广州分公司就会撤销。”他说。
与上述企业有相同打算的企业并不少。耳机生产商商Sleek Audio、玩具生产商Wham-O等都在今年撤掉了部分在中国的代工工厂,最近的例子则是阿迪达斯。
加工贸易目前主要由外资主导,如果这一趋势延续,对于中国经济的影响将不仅仅是停留在贸易层面,很可能会滑向投资及就业领域。
8月16日,商务部公布7月实际使用外资金额75.8亿美元,同比下降8.7%。这一下降幅度也远高于1~7月平均3.6%的降幅。其中制造业占同期使用外资总量的45.2%,实际使用外资同比下降6.4%。
中国的“成本难题”
“我们目前在广州市周边有一个加工工厂,大约能提供1000个就业岗位,淡季的时候停掉两条生产线,所以有大概20%的工人是应急招募的,如果我们搬到印尼,至少中国要裁员近300人。” 唐杰森表示,“今年以来,劳动力成本的上涨带动了成本上涨近20%,但我们的产品提价幅度不过5%。”
这家企业的对策是计划明年起将约三分之一的业务量转向印度尼西亚生产,这样至少能在劳动力成本上减少约10%的支出。
一达通中小企业外贸景气指数报告显示,7月份我国中小企业日均进出口值为 34135美元,环比下降5.4%。中小企业在7月份的用工需求人数较6月增长13%,但相应的用工成本也较6月增加15%。
“现在的问题不仅仅是绝对成本上涨,更多的是因为企业无法对冲成本上涨”。深圳一达通企业服务有限公司副总经理肖锋表示,尽管舆论将现在外贸的不景气大多归结于外需不振,却忽略了一个现实,企业所需的配套服务体系仍缺乏。
他告诉记者,最近一个做LED产品的客户拿到了一笔出口波兰的订单,价值500万美元。但值得一提的是,这笔订单早在一年前双方就达成了意向,但是卖方考虑到攀升的生产成本对于资金链的要求高,希望对方款到发货。但是买方却表示资金有限,希望赊销。直到今年,出口商找到一达通联合中国银行(2.75,-0.02,-0.72%),向卖方提供了一笔出口买方信贷,这笔交易才顺利达成。
“可见其实市场的绝对需求有降低,但是相对需求仍然存在,只是我们目前能提供给企业的配套服务太少,所有的成本上涨压力全部由企业自行消化,自然束缚了企业开展业务的能力。”肖锋说。
深圳银监局的监测显示,从银行渠道收集的企业融资成本较上期上升6.37%,而企业反映的银行渠道融资成本上升7.34%,小额贷款公司贷款成本上升在20%以上。
在联合国(微博)贸发组织最新发布的《2012年世界投资报告:制定新一代投资政策》显示,变“贵”了的中国正面临越来越多的竞争对手。2011年,流入东盟的FDI达到1170亿美元,增长了26%,增长速度远高于东亚的9%。在人力成本以及生产成本上成为其主要的竞争优势。其中文莱、印度尼西亚、马来西亚和新加坡的FDI流入量出现了显著增长。
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